Pre-tourney Rankings
Ohio Valley
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
98 Morehead St. 100.0%   14   22 - 9 13 - 5 22 - 9 13 - 5 +4.5      +2.2 97 +2.2 99 64.2 262 +3.8 114 +1.1 3
134 Murray St. 0.0%   21 - 8 14 - 4 21 - 8 14 - 4 +2.2      +1.1 134 +1.1 133 61.4 313 +3.4 119 +3.4 1
147 Austin Peay 0.0%   18 - 13 13 - 5 18 - 13 13 - 5 +1.3      +0.6 149 +0.7 145 70.5 109 +0.3 162 +1.6 2
207 Tennessee Tech 0.0%   17 - 12 12 - 6 17 - 12 12 - 6 -2.8      -1.4 207 -1.4 211 78.8 21 -1.2 184 +0.5 4
240 Tennessee St. 0.0%   12 - 16 10 - 8 12 - 16 10 - 8 -4.5      -2.2 240 -2.3 242 66.5 216 -4.4 234 -2.4 5
244 Eastern Kentucky 0.0%   13 - 16 9 - 9 13 - 16 9 - 9 -4.7      -2.2 239 -2.4 245 58.8 329 -5.6 257 -3.8 6
284 Jacksonville St. 0.0%   4 - 25 3 - 15 4 - 25 3 - 15 -7.7      -3.9 284 -3.8 284 60.7 319 -14.5 330 -13.5 10
298 Eastern Illinois 0.0%   7 - 20 4 - 14 7 - 20 4 - 14 -8.7      -4.5 299 -4.3 296 62.6 298 -9.6 304 -11.2 9
299 Southeast Missouri St. 0.0%   9 - 22 6 - 12 9 - 22 6 - 12 -8.8      -4.4 298 -4.4 297 70.5 110 -9.2 299 -7.8 8
300 Tennessee Martin 0.0%   10 - 21 6 - 12 10 - 21 6 - 12 -8.8      -4.4 297 -4.4 300 73.1 62 -8.2 293 -7.8 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Morehead St. 2.0 100.0
Murray St. 1.0 100.0
Austin Peay 2.0 100.0
Tennessee Tech 4.0 100.0
Tennessee St. 5.0 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 6.0 100.0
Jacksonville St. 10.0 100.0
Eastern Illinois 9.0 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 7.0 100.0
Tennessee Martin 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Morehead St. 13 - 5 100.0
Murray St. 14 - 4 100.0
Austin Peay 13 - 5 100.0
Tennessee Tech 12 - 6 100.0
Tennessee St. 10 - 8 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 9 - 9 100.0
Jacksonville St. 3 - 15 100.0
Eastern Illinois 4 - 14 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 6 - 12 100.0
Tennessee Martin 6 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Morehead St.
Murray St. 100.0% 100.0
Austin Peay
Tennessee Tech
Tennessee St.
Eastern Kentucky
Jacksonville St.
Eastern Illinois
Southeast Missouri St.
Tennessee Martin


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Morehead St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.0 22.5 64.3 13.3
Murray St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Morehead St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 12.8% 3.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Murray St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 12.8% 0.1 87.2 12.8
Sweet Sixteen 3.2% 0.0 96.8 3.2
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0